This teaser bet should offer an even greater payout than a standard parlay, however. It asks you to defy your handicapping, which is a tremendous increase to your risk. If you feel the Tigers are unlikely to win both games by at least four runs, then teasing the lines up to +3.5 for a potential profit of $400 isn’t worth the additional risk. Teasers are similar to parlays in that all the individual bets must be won to win the bet. Teaser betting is most common in the NFL and NBA. Football teasers typically give players 6 to 7 points, while basketball teasers give 4 to 5. There are many types of bets that the general public do not understand. One of the betting types that we really enjoy are teasers, and during the football season, these are super popular and worth giving a shot. Let’s take a look at Teaser Bets, and give you the definition, some tips and advantages to placing a Teaser Bet at AmericasBookie.com! Teaser bets are popular sports bets (particularly in football and basketball) because it allows you to adjust the point spread in your favor. Teasers are used in parlay bets (bets linking together two or more wagers) and whatever teaser amount you choose will apply to all wagers within your bet.
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Every sports bettor is searching for a way to make winning just a little easier. On the other hand, the sportsbooks are well aware of this and have implemented what I would consider “trick plays” to get more money out of you.
An example of one of these trick plays is the teaser bet. It promises better odds and easier wins, but when you run the numbers, is it really worth it?
An NFL super teaser card is a variation of the teaser bet that allows bettors to move the spread or total by a large number of points, most often 7.5 points or more. These bets often require at.
In this article, I’ll explain what a teaser bet is and why you should think twice before incorporating them into your overall strategy.
Understanding Teasers
The first thing you need to know about teaser bets, if you’re unfamiliar, is that it requires you to win multiple games in order to win your bet. With that being said, there is a benefit for the bettor in the way the odds are adjusted.
The most common example would be to use an NFL game. The two-team, 6-point teaser is considered the standard.
Here’s How It Works:You get additional points in each game on top of the original spread. If you were betting on the Patriots at -10 and the Falcons at +3, the new odds would be Patriots -4 and Falcons +9. Obviously, these are a significant help in winning the bet. In nearly all cases, you’ll be looking at the standard -110 odds.
Although you are getting a much more favorable point spread, it’s important to remember that you must win both games in order to cash in. This presents a challenge that sports bettors, especially those who regularly bet on the NFL, are all too familiar with.
For the following reasons, I would suggest using teasers sparingly, or even not using them at all.
Football Teaser Bets
1 – The Numbers Don’t Work In Your Favor
Sportsbooks and online sports betting sites know that the vast majority of gamblers aren’t going to crunch the numbers to find out if they’re actually getting a better deal on a certain play. You might be surprised that parlays are actually tipped in the house’s favor, until you get to four or five different bets where winning is highly unlikely.
Here are the numbers you need to know:
In order to be profitable betting normally, meaning a single bet with a -110 vig, you need to win about 53% of the time. It’s a tall order, but some bettors are able to get to this number. When it comes to teasers, you need to win each game 73% of the time in order to be profitable.
Now, it’s true that you do have a much higher chance of winning with the extra points on your side, but are you being compensated for your risk? The answer, in nearly all cases, is no.
2 – The Points Don’t Matter as Much as You Think
I’ve never understood people who agonize over an extra point or half-point when it comes to the spread. Sure, there are times when it comes into play, but the vast majority of games are decided well outside the spread.
Getting six additional points with a teaser is nothing to be scoffed at, but it’s important to consider if it’s really going to be a factor in both games that make up the play. The reality is that you’re taking on major risk, meaning you need to win both games or you lose the bet in exchange for the extra points.
The next time you sit down for an NFL Sunday slate of games, keep track of which games would have been impacted by the 6 points. You might be surprised to find that it’s only a handful each week, meaning most gamblers would be better off just playing the games the traditional way.
3 – There Are Simply Better Options
The real argument against teasers isn’t so much pointing out the flaws but, rather, looking at the alternative plays that you could be making instead. Without question, there is tremendous value to be enjoyed if you look elsewhere.
- First, you’re better off simply betting on the spread as it is without the teaser. If you go 5-5 on the day but bet all teasers, you could theoretically lose every single play. If you just bet the games individually, you’d still be close to even.
- Second, if you’re utilizing a teaser, then you’re probably ignoring the opportunities presented by the moneyline underdogs. To continue with the theme of not overestimating the impact a few points has on winning or losing a bet, consider all the games that have an under 4-point spread for either team.
If a spread is less than a touchdown, it’s reasonable to think that the sportsbooks are saying the game could go either way. Instead of just accepting the -110 odds, take the leap and bet on the moneyline underdog. Yes, this is going to result in you losing a few additional games, but when you’re dealing with +130 to +150 odds, your wins are going to cover your losses—and then some.
The bottom line is that gambling requires a significant degree of risk tolerance to be successful. It’s necessary to accept that you’re going to lose a high percentage of the time. The key is to maximize wins and hope that it offsets your losses.
Remember, the win/loss categories don’t matter as much as the financial side of things. Trying to get easy wins, such as with a teaser, almost always benefits the house.
4 – Consider Why They’re Being Offered
Teaser Bet Odds
Have you ever known a sportsbook to create offerings that benefit bettors? If so, I’d love to be pointed in that direction.
In the same way that sportsbooks set their odds with some knowledge of public bias, so too do they create betting options with the same thing in mind.
Parlays and teasers are two examples of bets that are offered in the hope of attracting people who are looking for easy wins. Simply put, be smart enough to avoid taking the bait. This is yet another example of, “if it looks too good to be true, it probably is.”
When it comes to betting on sports, especially the NFL (where the sportsbooks are receiving a huge amount of action and have a huge incentive to get the most out of gamblers), there’s just no such thing as a “gimme.” If you think you’ve found one, the bet offering is probably a wolf in sheep’s clothing.
5 – It’s All or Nothing
I’ve touched various aspects of this idea throughout the article, but to lay it out bluntly: it’s hard to go 2-0. In this case, to go 2-0 on the day, you’d actually have to go 4-0 if you’re using teasers.
If you go 3-1 in the early round of games on an NFL Sunday, you’re going to feel good about your plays. You’re up a good deal, and can play with house money in the evening games. With teasers, you could go 3-1 on the day and end up being down slightly. In my opinion, any time you put yourself in the position where three wins and one loss ends up being a net-loss financially, you’ve made a mistake.
To further demonstrate the point, it’s important to look at the implication of playing teasers regularly. If each and every bet you make requires you to accurately predict two outcomes of an inherently unpredictable game, it’s simply too difficult to win consistently.
When betting teasers, you can finish the NFL weekend correctly picking eight of 12 games. Ordinarily, this would be an outstanding and profitable weekend. If you’re betting teasers, an 8-4 record (meaning six total teasers played), could potentially result in two wins and four losses. That’s just not a winning formula.
Conclusion
Teasers allow you to feel great when you lock in a bet. With an extra 6 points on your side, it seems like you’re stealing money from the sportsbook. The reality is much more nuanced, and it’s important that you don’t misunderstand the decision you’re making.
Sportsbooks love parlays and teasers. In the former, people are trying to maximize their money without recognizing the risk. In the latter, people are trying to maximize their number of wins without recognizing the risk. In all cases, it’s simply better to bet straight up and let the chips fall where they may.
Please enable JavaScript to view the comments powered by Disqus.Most people familiar with betting college basketball don’t think much about teasers. These bets are pretty popular in football, but simply don’t get as much action in basketball.
What is a Teaser Bet in Basketball? Understanding How They Work
For those that don’t know what a teaser is and how it works, here’s a quick explanation. The basic principle of a teaser is moving the line in your favor. The only catch is you have to include 2 or more teams and like a parlay, all the teams must win for you to cash a winning ticket. For example, say Duke was a 10-point favorite in their upcoming game. You like them to
For example, say you liked Duke -7, Michigan -4 and Kentucky -8. You like all three to win but aren’t so confident they will do so by more than the spread. You can include them in 4-point teaser and move the line 4-points in your favor. Using our example, Duke would go from -7 to -3, Michigan would go from -4 to a Pick’em and Kentucky would drop from -8 to -4.
The more teams you include the bigger the payouts, but also the less likely you are to win. You can also tease more than 4-points. However, the more points, the worse the payouts are going to get. As you can see from the chart below, a 2-team 4-point teaser would net you $117 on a $100 wager. If you used the same two teams and did a 10-point teaser, you would have to risk $410 just to win $100.
NCAA College Basketball Teaser Payout Chart By Points & Team Number
Points | 2 team | 3 team | 4 team | 5 team | 6 team | 7 team | 8 team | 9 team | 10 team |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | +117 | +200 | +335 | +525 | +805 | +1200 | +1775 | +2600 | +3800 |
4.5 | +103 | +190 | +315 | +490 | +745 | +1100 | +1625 | +2400 | +3500 |
5 | -110 | +165 | +265 | +410 | +610 | +890 | +1275 | +1825 | +2600 |
5.5 | -120 | +150 | +240 | +365 | +550 | +800 | +1100 | +1550 | +2150 |
6 | -150 | +120 | +185 | +270 | +380 | +530 | +725 | +975 | +1325 |
6.5 | -180 | +100 | +153 | +220 | +300 | +405 | +540 | +715 | +935 |
7 | -210 | -110 | +136 | +195 | +265 | +355 | +465 | +610 | +800 |
7.5 | -230 | -120 | +128 | +180 | +245 | +325 | +425 | +550 | +710 |
8 | -250 | -135 | +120 | +165 | +225 | +295 | +385 | +490 | +630 |
8.5 | -270 | -155 | +110 | +155 | +205 | +265 | +345 | +435 | +550 |
9 | -300 | -175 | +100 | +140 | +185 | +240 | +305 | +385 | +480 |
9.5 | -325 | -185 | -105 | +132 | +175 | +225 | +285 | +360 | +450 |
10 | -410 | -235 | -120 | +115 | +150 | +195 | +240 | +300 | +375 |
How to Know When It’s Profitable to Bet College Basketball Teasers
What I wanted to find out was if this was are NCAA basketball teasers profitable. Or, are people just not aware that they can be if you cross enough key numbers.
I went back over more than 8,000 of the most recent NCAA basketball games to find out. We’ve also focused only on games in January and February. This allowed us to zero in on home/away trends. I wanted to get rid of early and late season tournaments. Those don’t typically have a home court advantage.
I’ve broken these teaser results into four separate tables: Home Favorites, Home Underdogs, Road Favorites, and Road Underdogs. Typical basketball teasers are 4, 4.5 or 5 points.
The results below show the winning percentage of games with a closing spread (Line) at each number when teased 4, 4.5 or 5 points. We then compared that number to the winning percentage needed to turn a profit for a two-team teaser. Those are based on the typical available odds at a sportsbook. The break even percentages are listed at the bottom of each table.
You can compare teaser odds at online books here. The numbers below are based on the most common odds available.
I’ve also added separate results for 5Dimes and Bookmaker, which offer much better teaser odds than your typical site. We strongly recommend both if you are looking at getting into teasers. 5Dimes offers the best lines in the business when it comes to typical teasers. But, Bookmaker offers amazing payouts for 5.5, 6 and 6.5 point teasers in basketball.
Home Favorites
We start off by looking at home favorites in college basketball. There really aren’t a lot of good situations for teasing home favorites at the typical odds available for NCAA basketball. Teams favored by 14.5 to 15 points have historically been profitable to tease. But, keep in mind that the sample size on favorites of that many points is much smaller than more common spreads.
Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|
-1 | 59.21% | 61.01% | 63.26% |
-1.5 | 63.70% | 64.95% | 65.63% |
-2 | 61.18% | 62.64% | 64.47% |
-2.5 | 59.16% | 62.00% | 63.75% |
-3 | 62.82% | 63.53% | 66.07% |
-3.5 | 59.67% | 61.68% | 62.93% |
-4 | 62.80% | 62.80% | 63.82% |
-4.5 | 64.88% | 64.88% | 64.88% |
-5 | 68.81% | 69.76% | 69.76% |
-5.5 | 63.73% | 65.56% | 66.52% |
-6 | 65.99% | 67.81% | 69.91% |
-6.5 | 66.59% | 69.14% | 70.28% |
-7 | 66.74% | 67.87% | 71.56% |
-7.5 | 69.13% | 71.95% | 73.04% |
-8 | 64.84% | 65.82% | 68.06% |
-8.5 | 65.25% | 68.66% | 70.21% |
-9 | 65.65% | 66.96% | 69.82% |
-9.5 | 64.71% | 66.77% | 67.80% |
-10 | 64.35% | 65.86% | 68.55% |
-10.5 | 61.98% | 64.24% | 65.50% |
-11 | 63.83% | 66.23% | 68.26% |
-11.5 | 65.71% | 71.60% | 73.93% |
-12 | 58.46% | 60.73% | 64.48% |
-12.5 | 66.95% | 70.27% | 71.67% |
-13 | 61.57% | 63.64% | 66.09% |
-13.5 | 60.93% | 64.22% | 66.05% |
-14 | 64.85% | 66.82% | 68.75% |
-14.5 | 71.51% | 74.42% | 75.42% |
-15 | 72.14% | 73.83% | 75.86% |
% Needed | 70.71% | 72.39% | 73.82% |
Road Favorites
With road favorites we finally see some great situations for teasers. We see this phenomenon in other sports as well and it makes sense when you think about it. It’s not easy for an away team to be favored unless they are clearly the better team. Then you get extra points to play with, giving that team a very good chance of covering.
Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|
-1 | 63.42% | 64.68% | 66.35% |
-1.5 | 60.29% | 63.80% | 65.80% |
-2 | 61.07% | 62.85% | 66.22% |
-2.5 | 62.77% | 65.59% | 67.08% |
-3 | 62.69% | 63.14% | 65.93% |
-3.5 | 61.08% | 63.16% | 64.37% |
-4 | 65.12% | 65.12% | 66.27% |
-4.5 | 64.48% | 64.48% | 64.48% |
-5 | 60.54% | 62.39% | 62.39% |
-5.5 | 68.70% | 70.85% | 71.74% |
-6 | 70.79% | 71.50% | 72.91% |
-6.5 | 77.23% | 78.39% | 78.71% |
-7 | 71.53% | 72.67% | 75.69% |
-7.5 | 60.67% | 64.08% | 66.00% |
-8 | 64.00% | 65.16% | 67.33% |
-8.5 | 74.02% | 75.81% | 76.38% |
-9 | 70.09% | 70.91% | 73.58% |
-9.5 | 71.74% | 74.16% | 75.00% |
-10 | 70.71% | 71.00% | 74.74% |
-10.5 | 64.20% | 65.82% | 66.67% |
-11 | 68.00% | 68.00% | 70.83% |
-11.5 | 60.00% | 62.90% | 64.62% |
-12 | 69.64% | 72.13% | 74.58% |
-12.5 | 73.81% | 75.61% | 76.19% |
-13 | 72.97% | 74.36% | 76.32% |
-13.5 | 83.87% | 86.67% | 87.10% |
-14 | 65.52% | 65.52% | 70.37% |
-14.5 | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% |
-15 | 47.62% | 47.62% | 47.62% |
% Needed | 70.71% | 72.39% | 73.82% |
Road Underdogs
We didn’t expect to see many good situations for visiting underdogs. But, the results tell a different story. Visiting underdogs from 12 to 13 points are your best bet for teasing in most cases. This is likely because once a team is up by double-digits late in the game they tend to play backups or at least slow their pace. This gives the losing team a chance to catch up and cover the spread you teased to.
Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|
+1 | 68.75% | 69.60% | 72.17% |
+1.5 | 68.27% | 71.54% | 72.84% |
+2 | 70.04% | 70.94% | 74.46% |
+2.5 | 66.93% | 68.57% | 69.32% |
+3 | 67.33% | 68.52% | 70.41% |
+3.5 | 67.62% | 69.60% | 70.47% |
+4 | 67.43% | 68.80% | 72.12% |
+4.5 | 68.06% | 69.72% | 70.44% |
+5 | 66.53% | 67.94% | 70.50% |
+5.5 | 70.39% | 72.57% | 73.39% |
+6 | 73.99% | 75.11% | 76.92% |
+6.5 | 64.86% | 67.80% | 69.20% |
+7 | 69.63% | 70.79% | 72.92% |
+7.5 | 66.52% | 70.02% | 71.52% |
+8 | 72.87% | 74.18% | 76.50% |
+8.5 | 67.61% | 70.10% | 71.16% |
+9 | 67.67% | 68.71% | 71.00% |
+9.5 | 69.35% | 71.57% | 72.45% |
+10 | 67.08% | 67.98% | 70.09% |
+10.5 | 66.77% | 68.75% | 69.65% |
+11 | 72.41% | 73.51% | 75.51% |
+11.5 | 67.86% | 69.85% | 70.71% |
+12 | 74.72% | 75.27% | 77.24% |
+12.5 | 70.82% | 72.69% | 73.39% |
+13 | 72.65% | 73.55% | 74.48% |
+13.5 | 66.05% | 67.62% | 68.37% |
+14 | 69.80% | 71.50% | 73.56% |
+14.5 | 67.60% | 71.18% | 72.63% |
+15 | 64.34% | 65.77% | 68.06% |
% Needed | 70.71% | 72.39% | 73.82% |
Comparing Best NCAA Basketball Teaser Odds at Different SportsBooks
5Dimes Teaser Charts
Teaser Bet Calculator
Home Favorites (5Dimes)
We get similar results at 5Dimes compared to typical odds. Yet, you should note that you can hit at a lower rate and still profit. This means you don’t need to win as many of your teases over time to get a return on your investment.
Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
-1 | 61.01% | 61.01% | 64.57% | 64.57% | 69.60% |
-1.5 | 63.70% | 65.63% | 65.63% | 66.83% | 66.83% |
-2 | 62.64% | 62.64% | 65.47% | 65.47% | 69.06% |
-2.5 | 59.16% | 63.75% | 63.75% | 66.33% | 66.33% |
-3 | 63.53% | 63.53% | 67.37% | 67.37% | 70.44% |
-3.5 | 59.67% | 62.93% | 62.93% | 67.82% | 67.82% |
-4 | 62.80% | 62.80% | 64.40% | 64.40% | 68.40% |
-4.5 | 64.88% | 64.88% | 64.88% | 67.86% | 67.86% |
-5 | 69.76% | 69.76% | 69.76% | 69.76% | 73.79% |
-5.5 | 63.73% | 66.52% | 66.52% | 66.52% | 66.52% |
-6 | 67.81% | 67.81% | 70.82% | 70.82% | 70.82% |
-6.5 | 66.59% | 70.28% | 70.28% | 73.10% | 73.10% |
-7 | 67.87% | 67.87% | 73.03% | 73.03% | 75.06% |
-7.5 | 69.13% | 73.04% | 73.04% | 76.09% | 76.09% |
-8 | 65.82% | 65.82% | 69.11% | 69.11% | 73.16% |
-8.5 | 65.25% | 70.21% | 70.21% | 76.12% | 76.12% |
-9 | 66.96% | 66.96% | 71.05% | 71.05% | 76.02% |
-9.5 | 64.71% | 67.80% | 67.80% | 72.45% | 72.45% |
-10 | 65.86% | 65.86% | 69.79% | 69.79% | 73.72% |
-10.5 | 61.98% | 65.50% | 65.50% | 70.61% | 70.61% |
-11 | 66.23% | 66.23% | 69.21% | 69.21% | 72.19% |
-11.5 | 65.71% | 73.93% | 73.93% | 77.14% | 77.14% |
-12 | 60.73% | 60.73% | 66.55% | 66.55% | 71.27% |
-12.5 | 66.95% | 71.67% | 71.67% | 74.25% | 74.25% |
-13 | 63.64% | 63.64% | 67.36% | 67.36% | 72.31% |
-13.5 | 60.93% | 66.05% | 66.05% | 69.30% | 69.30% |
-14 | 66.82% | 66.82% | 69.63% | 69.63% | 74.30% |
-14.5 | 71.51% | 75.42% | 75.42% | 79.89% | 79.89% |
-15 | 73.83% | 73.83% | 76.51% | 76.51% | 81.21% |
% Needed | 69.84% | 70.53% | 73.14% | 74.93% | 78.26% |
Home Underdogs (5Dimes)
You can really see the advantage at 5Dimes over your book with 5 though 6 point teaser payouts. Just compare this table to the table above. You’ll see how many more opportunities there are to tease home dogs.
Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
+1 | 64.45% | 64.45% | 66.28% | 66.28% | 68.81% |
+1.5 | 64.35% | 67.54% | 67.54% | 71.88% | 71.88% |
+2 | 68.45% | 68.45% | 70.74% | 70.74% | 74.05% |
+2.5 | 63.08% | 68.00% | 68.00% | 71.38% | 71.38% |
+3 | 67.07% | 67.07% | 69.18% | 69.18% | 71.90% |
+3.5 | 64.97% | 69.16% | 69.16% | 71.26% | 71.26% |
+4 | 69.77% | 69.77% | 73.55% | 73.55% | 76.45% |
+4.5 | 69.50% | 72.20% | 72.20% | 74.90% | 74.90% |
+5 | 69.23% | 69.23% | 71.79% | 71.79% | 75.64% |
+5.5 | 64.35% | 68.26% | 68.26% | 71.74% | 71.74% |
+6 | 67.63% | 67.63% | 72.46% | 72.46% | 74.88% |
+6.5 | 60.89% | 63.37% | 63.37% | 65.84% | 65.84% |
+7 | 69.33% | 69.33% | 74.67% | 74.67% | 76.67% |
+7.5 | 73.33% | 77.33% | 77.33% | 79.33% | 79.33% |
+8 | 61.29% | 61.29% | 64.52% | 64.52% | 66.45% |
+8.5 | 61.42% | 65.35% | 65.35% | 70.87% | 70.87% |
+9 | 68.18% | 68.18% | 73.64% | 73.64% | 76.36% |
+9.5 | 64.13% | 66.30% | 66.30% | 68.48% | 68.48% |
+10 | 62.00% | 62.00% | 63.00% | 63.00% | 69.00% |
+10.5 | 67.90% | 72.84% | 72.84% | 76.54% | 76.54% |
+11 | 68.00% | 68.00% | 69.33% | 69.33% | 76.00% |
+11.5 | 70.77% | 73.85% | 73.85% | 75.38% | 75.38% |
+12 | 68.85% | 68.85% | 72.13% | 72.13% | 77.05% |
+12.5 | 61.90% | 66.67% | 66.67% | 69.05% | 69.05% |
+13 | 64.10% | 64.10% | 66.67% | 66.67% | 66.67% |
+13.5 | 51.61% | 54.84% | 54.84% | 64.52% | 64.52% |
+14 | 72.41% | 72.41% | 79.31% | 79.31% | 86.21% |
+14.5 | 61.90% | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% |
+15 | 71.43% | 71.43% | 76.19% | 76.19% | 80.95% |
% Needed | 69.84% | 70.53% | 73.14% | 74.93% | 78.26% |
Road Favorites (5Dimes)
There are a ton of situations where teasing road favorites at 5Dimes are profitable. There are a wide range of options for teams favored by 6 to 15 points on the road. As a general rule, lines makers tend to over-adjust for home floor advantage in college hoops. That’s just fine with us! It gives us a lot of great teaser situations season after season.
Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
-1 | 64.68% | 64.68% | 67.20% | 67.20% | 71.56% |
-1.5 | 60.29% | 65.80% | 65.80% | 69.57% | 69.57% |
-2 | 62.85% | 62.85% | 67.94% | 67.94% | 72.26% |
-2.5 | 62.77% | 67.08% | 67.08% | 70.46% | 70.46% |
-3 | 63.14% | 63.14% | 67.37% | 67.37% | 71.60% |
-3.5 | 61.08% | 64.37% | 64.37% | 66.17% | 66.17% |
-4 | 65.12% | 65.12% | 66.86% | 66.86% | 70.93% |
-4.5 | 64.48% | 64.48% | 64.48% | 66.02% | 66.02% |
-5 | 62.39% | 62.39% | 62.39% | 62.39% | 65.38% |
-5.5 | 68.70% | 71.74% | 71.74% | 71.74% | 71.74% |
-6 | 71.50% | 71.50% | 73.43% | 73.43% | 73.43% |
-6.5 | 77.23% | 78.71% | 78.71% | 80.20% | 80.20% |
-7 | 72.67% | 72.67% | 76.67% | 76.67% | 79.33% |
-7.5 | 60.67% | 66.00% | 66.00% | 72.67% | 72.67% |
-8 | 65.16% | 65.16% | 68.39% | 68.39% | 71.61% |
-8.5 | 74.02% | 76.38% | 76.38% | 77.95% | 77.95% |
-9 | 70.91% | 70.91% | 74.55% | 74.55% | 78.18% |
-9.5 | 71.74% | 75.00% | 75.00% | 80.43% | 80.43% |
-10 | 71.00% | 71.00% | 76.00% | 76.00% | 78.00% |
-10.5 | 64.20% | 66.67% | 66.67% | 71.60% | 71.60% |
-11 | 68.00% | 68.00% | 72.00% | 72.00% | 72.00% |
-11.5 | 60.00% | 64.62% | 64.62% | 66.15% | 66.15% |
-12 | 72.13% | 72.13% | 75.41% | 75.41% | 77.05% |
-12.5 | 73.81% | 76.19% | 76.19% | 78.57% | 78.57% |
-13 | 74.36% | 74.36% | 76.92% | 76.92% | 76.92% |
-13.5 | 83.87% | 87.10% | 87.10% | 90.32% | 90.32% |
-14 | 65.52% | 65.52% | 72.41% | 72.41% | 72.41% |
-14.5 | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% |
-15 | 47.62% | 47.62% | 47.62% | 47.62% | 61.90% |
% Needed | 69.84% | 70.53% | 73.14% | 74.93% | 78.26% |
Road Underdogs (5Dimes)
Again, away underdogs really beat our expectations for teaser purposes. The 5, 5.5 and 6 point options at 5Dimes really open up a huge number of situations where you can profit by teasing underdogs away from home.
Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
+1 | 69.60% | 69.60% | 73.17% | 73.17% | 75.89% |
+1.5 | 68.27% | 72.84% | 72.84% | 75.48% | 75.48% |
+2 | 70.94% | 70.94% | 75.66% | 75.66% | 77.17% |
+2.5 | 66.93% | 69.32% | 69.32% | 72.11% | 72.11% |
+3 | 68.52% | 68.52% | 71.21% | 71.21% | 75.24% |
+3.5 | 67.62% | 70.47% | 70.47% | 73.52% | 73.52% |
+4 | 68.80% | 68.80% | 73.40% | 73.40% | 77.20% |
+4.5 | 68.06% | 70.44% | 70.44% | 73.61% | 73.61% |
+5 | 67.94% | 67.94% | 71.57% | 71.57% | 76.01% |
+5.5 | 70.39% | 73.39% | 73.39% | 76.82% | 76.82% |
+6 | 75.11% | 75.11% | 77.47% | 77.47% | 80.04% |
+6.5 | 64.86% | 69.20% | 69.20% | 73.32% | 73.32% |
+7 | 70.79% | 70.79% | 73.71% | 73.71% | 76.63% |
+7.5 | 66.52% | 71.52% | 71.52% | 74.78% | 74.78% |
+8 | 74.18% | 74.18% | 77.22% | 77.22% | 80.76% |
+8.5 | 67.61% | 71.16% | 71.16% | 72.58% | 72.58% |
+9 | 68.71% | 68.71% | 71.93% | 71.93% | 76.32% |
+9.5 | 69.35% | 72.45% | 72.45% | 75.85% | 75.85% |
+10 | 67.98% | 67.98% | 71.00% | 71.00% | 73.72% |
+10.5 | 66.77% | 69.65% | 69.65% | 72.52% | 72.52% |
+11 | 73.51% | 73.51% | 76.16% | 76.16% | 77.81% |
+11.5 | 67.86% | 70.71% | 70.71% | 75.36% | 75.36% |
+12 | 75.27% | 75.27% | 77.82% | 77.82% | 79.64% |
+12.5 | 70.82% | 73.39% | 73.39% | 76.39% | 76.39% |
+13 | 73.55% | 73.55% | 74.79% | 74.79% | 77.69% |
+13.5 | 66.05% | 68.37% | 68.37% | 71.63% | 71.63% |
+14 | 71.50% | 71.50% | 74.30% | 74.30% | 77.10% |
+14.5 | 67.60% | 72.63% | 72.63% | 77.09% | 77.09% |
+15 | 65.77% | 65.77% | 69.13% | 69.13% | 72.48% |
% Needed | 69.84% | 70.53% | 73.14% | 74.93% | 78.26% |
![Worth Worth](/uploads/1/3/7/5/137584933/431088347.jpg)
Bookmaker Teaser Charts
5Dimes offers better returns for 4, 4.5 and 5 point teasers, but Bookmaker provides by far the best 5.5, 6 and 6.5 point payouts. Historical results for those teasers have been listed below.
Home Favorites (Bookmaker)
Line | 5.5 | 6 | 6.5 |
---|---|---|---|
-1 | 64.57% | 67.99% | 69.60% |
-1.5 | 66.42% | 66.83% | 71.28% |
-2 | 65.47% | 67.91% | 69.06% |
-2.5 | 65.44% | 66.33% | 68.80% |
-3 | 67.37% | 69.50% | 70.44% |
-3.5 | 66.17% | 67.82% | 70.11% |
-4 | 64.40% | 67.08% | 68.40% |
-4.5 | 66.87% | 67.86% | 70.52% |
-5 | 69.76% | 72.69% | 73.79% |
-5.5 | 66.52% | 66.52% | 68.89% |
-6 | 70.82% | 70.82% | 70.82% |
-6.5 | 72.32% | 73.10% | 73.10% |
-7 | 73.03% | 74.54% | 75.06% |
-7.5 | 75.34% | 76.09% | 78.30% |
-8 | 69.11% | 72.03% | 73.16% |
-8.5 | 74.62% | 76.12% | 79.70% |
-9 | 71.05% | 74.77% | 76.02% |
-9.5 | 71.10% | 72.45% | 75.73% |
-10 | 69.79% | 72.64% | 73.72% |
-10.5 | 69.02% | 70.61% | 72.94% |
-11 | 69.21% | 71.33% | 72.19% |
-11.5 | 76.38% | 77.14% | 78.83% |
-12 | 66.55% | 69.85% | 71.27% |
-12.5 | 73.57% | 74.25% | 76.89% |
-13 | 67.36% | 70.87% | 72.31% |
-13.5 | 68.27% | 69.30% | 73.04% |
-14 | 69.63% | 73.04% | 74.30% |
-14.5 | 78.95% | 79.89% | 83.63% |
-15 | 76.51% | 80.28% | 81.21% |
% Needed | 73.58% | 75.18% | 76.38% |
Is A Teaser A Good Bet
Home Underdogs (Bookmaker)
Line | 5.5 | 6 | 6.5 |
---|---|---|---|
+1 | 66.28% | 68.00% | 68.81% |
+1.5 | 70.61% | 71.88% | 74.25% |
+2 | 70.74% | 73.16% | 74.05% |
+2.5 | 70.38% | 71.38% | 75.32% |
+3 | 69.18% | 71.12% | 71.90% |
+3.5 | 70.64% | 71.26% | 73.46% |
+4 | 73.55% | 75.75% | 76.45% |
+4.5 | 74.21% | 74.90% | 76.68% |
+5 | 71.79% | 74.67% | 75.64% |
+5.5 | 70.72% | 71.74% | 74.32% |
+6 | 72.46% | 74.26% | 74.88% |
+6.5 | 64.97% | 65.84% | 70.37% |
+7 | 74.67% | 76.19% | 76.67% |
+7.5 | 78.91% | 79.33% | 82.07% |
+8 | 64.52% | 65.79% | 66.45% |
+8.5 | 69.17% | 70.87% | 76.27% |
+9 | 73.64% | 75.70% | 76.36% |
+9.5 | 67.78% | 68.48% | 69.23% |
+10 | 63.00% | 67.02% | 69.00% |
+10.5 | 75.64% | 76.54% | 78.48% |
+11 | 69.33% | 74.29% | 76.00% |
+11.5 | 75.00% | 75.38% | 79.03% |
+12 | 72.13% | 75.86% | 77.05% |
+12.5 | 68.29% | 69.05% | 70.73% |
+13 | 66.67% | 66.67% | 66.67% |
+13.5 | 60.71% | 64.52% | 64.52% |
+14 | 79.31% | 85.19% | 86.21% |
+14.5 | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% |
+15 | 76.19% | 80.00% | 80.95% |
% Needed | 73.58% | 75.18% | 76.38% |
Road Favorites (Bookmaker)
Line | 5.5 | 6 | 6.5 |
---|---|---|---|
-1 | 67.20% | 70.26% | 71.56% |
-1.5 | 68.37% | 69.57% | 71.43% |
-2 | 67.94% | 71.01% | 72.26% |
-2.5 | 69.43% | 70.46% | 73.40% |
-3 | 67.37% | 70.35% | 71.60% |
-3.5 | 65.55% | 66.17% | 68.63% |
-4 | 66.86% | 69.70% | 70.93% |
-4.5 | 65.49% | 66.02% | 67.59% |
-5 | 62.39% | 64.32% | 65.38% |
-5.5 | 71.74% | 71.74% | 73.66% |
-6 | 73.43% | 73.43% | 73.43% |
-6.5 | 79.90% | 80.20% | 80.20% |
-7 | 76.67% | 78.77% | 79.33% |
-7.5 | 70.71% | 72.67% | 75.17% |
-8 | 68.39% | 70.67% | 71.61% |
-8.5 | 77.60% | 77.95% | 79.84% |
-9 | 74.55% | 77.36% | 78.18% |
-9.5 | 79.31% | 80.43% | 87.06% |
-10 | 76.00% | 77.55% | 78.00% |
-10.5 | 70.13% | 71.60% | 75.32% |
-11 | 72.00% | 72.00% | 72.00% |
-11.5 | 65.63% | 66.15% | 67.19% |
-12 | 75.41% | 76.67% | 77.05% |
-12.5 | 78.05% | 78.57% | 80.49% |
-13 | 76.92% | 76.92% | 76.92% |
-13.5 | 90.00% | 90.32% | 90.32% |
-14 | 72.41% | 72.41% | 72.41% |
-14.5 | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% |
-15 | 47.62% | 55.56% | 61.90% |
% Needed | 73.58% | 75.18% | 76.38% |
Road Underdogs (Bookmaker)
Line | 5.5 | 6 | 6.5 |
---|---|---|---|
+1 | 73.17% | 75.22% | 75.89% |
+1.5 | 74.81% | 75.48% | 78.30% |
+2 | 75.66% | 76.82% | 77.17% |
+2.5 | 71.31% | 72.11% | 74.33% |
+3 | 71.21% | 74.20% | 75.24% |
+3.5 | 72.69% | 73.52% | 77.14% |
+4 | 73.40% | 76.30% | 77.20% |
+4.5 | 72.75% | 73.61% | 76.18% |
+5 | 71.57% | 74.89% | 76.01% |
+5.5 | 76.00% | 76.82% | 79.03% |
+6 | 77.47% | 79.52% | 80.04% |
+6.5 | 72.17% | 73.32% | 76.99% |
+7 | 73.71% | 75.93% | 76.63% |
+7.5 | 73.93% | 74.78% | 75.94% |
+8 | 77.22% | 80.05% | 80.76% |
+8.5 | 72.18% | 72.58% | 75.43% |
+9 | 71.93% | 75.23% | 76.32% |
+9.5 | 75.00% | 75.85% | 77.78% |
+10 | 71.00% | 72.98% | 73.72% |
+10.5 | 71.71% | 72.52% | 73.70% |
+11 | 76.16% | 77.44% | 77.81% |
+11.5 | 74.16% | 75.36% | 77.57% |
+12 | 77.82% | 79.26% | 79.64% |
+12.5 | 75.66% | 76.39% | 77.73% |
+13 | 74.79% | 77.02% | 77.69% |
+13.5 | 70.67% | 71.63% | 73.33% |
+14 | 74.30% | 76.44% | 77.10% |
+14.5 | 76.02% | 77.09% | 78.86% |
+15 | 69.13% | 71.53% | 72.48% |
% Needed | 73.58% | 75.18% | 76.38% |
Conclusions
NCAA basketball offers a ton of great teasing opportunities. It might be better than any other sport. On average, road teams offer the most chances for profitable teases. We believe this to be due to an inflated sense of the benefits from playing at home. Compared to the NBA, home floor is not worth nearly as many points (on average) in college basketball. There are many variables that impact this, but we’ve checked the data for the NBA and college basketball and found it to be true (on average home court is worth about 6 points in the NBA and just 3.6 points in college hoops).
You can use these tables any time you are looking for an extra edge handicapping NCAA basketball games. We wouldn’t recommend using it exclusively or following it blindly. But, we do think it can be a great tool for helping knowing the best situations to tease certain teams.